President Barack Obama has one amazing and infuriating trait for every political analyst following him and everyone who ever voted for him and everyone who’s ever worked against him: Incredible timing.
Obama gets beat up over and over again in the
press and from Republicans and their minions in the public. Then somehow some
way, just when it looks like he’s never going to recover, he gives a speech,
makes a deal or pulls off a stunt that puts everyone back on their heels
collectively, asking “How long has he been planning that?”
With his announcement Sunday that U.S. special
operations forces had hunted down and killed Osama bin Laden, Obama proved once
again that he is the master of the last minute political save.
Heading into last week Obama’s political
fortunes seemed at their usual tenuous level. The Democrats had survived the
budget battles with Republicans without totally capitulating everything they
claimed they stood for, but at the same time bigger problems were just over the
horizon. In late April gas prices started surging unexpectedly, slowing our
sluggish economic outlook, even worse race baiting reality T.V. toupee salesman
Donald Trump was gobbling up all available airtime again dredging up the
boogeyman that Obama wasn’t born in the United States. What’s a president to
do?
Obama broke out with the triple political
karate chop laying waste to his political foes and they still don’t know how he
did it. He started last Thursday by releasing his “long form” birth
certificate, which effectively made “birthers” look even more ridiculous. It’s
one thing to claim this is a movement of junior genealogists who figured out
where Obama was born when no one else had, but now in the face of even more
evidence they have to become part time forgery analysts as well. No one is
going to believe that one.
Then Obama went to the White House
Correspondents’ dinner and laid so much wood to Trump in the president’s
comedic speech that The Donald will be pulling splinters out of his face for
months. Which will give him just enough time to find an excuse to drop out of
the race. Finally on Sunday night Obama releases the final salvo of his “Take
‘em to the bridge” political tour and takes credit for killing Osama bin Laden.
The facts are clear, Obama managed to do in two years what Bush couldn’t figure
out in eight.
Now this would not be America if we didn’t
have a healthy number of skeptics about the death of bin Laden. But what political
end could that skepticism serve? Did Obama order Osama bin Laden killed to
advance his career? Of course he did, but it’s also his job to kill the most
wanted man in American history next to John Wilkes Booth. Is bin Laden really
dead, or is this whole event a sham? Realistically speaking who knows when bin
Laden died or how. If you must question the official story then what difference
would it make if he were still alive?
Military intelligence had long assessed that
Osama was more of an ideological leader than a field general and mastermind so
even if he is still alive, as some believe, he’s no more dangerous now than he
was for the last five years living in a cave. No matter how you spin it, no
matter what realistic or conspiratorial perspective one has on the announcement
of bin Laden’s death it ultimately will not affect the fact that we won’t see
him again in the public eye.
So the real question now is what happens next?
With Obama having taking out Osama bin Laden it radically improves his already
formidable chances of being re-elected next year, so that’s off the table.
However what we can hope for is that perhaps this surgical military strike
against America’s most wanted will give us time to consider the relative merits
of the two wars and millions of lives we’ve cost America and the world in
pursuit of this man and his supporters. Over 40,000 men and women have died in
Afghanistan or Iraq on our side and another half million in the home
country. With the death of bin
Laden wouldn’t it be a good time for the nation to settle down and re-evaluate
our Middle East policy? Perhaps trim some military fat?
In the end the president has been busy fixing
the economy passing health care reform and fending off oil spills. I think I
can wait a while for him to make his next move. They’re usually pretty good.
Jason
Johnson is an associate professor of political science and communications at
Hiram College in Ohio, where he teaches courses in campaigns and elections, pop
culture and the politics of sports.
